Saturday, March 21, 2015


The Cost of Obamacare is Costing Less than Expected

 

The Congressional Budget Office indicates that the health insurance costs under the Affordable Care Act are less than they were previously estimated. 


            The Congressional Budget Office, CBO, is a non-partisan government organization that provides estimates for congressional use and consideration.  At the inception of the Affordable Care Act in March 2010, the CBO estimated that insurance related costs from 2015 to 2019 (i.e. the last 5 years of the 10 years estimating period) would amount to $710 billion.  This March, the CBO revised that estimate to $506 billion, a 29% reduction.  Most of this reduction comes from insurance subsidies provided by the federal government.  In 2010, the CBO estimated that by year 2015, insurance subsidies would average $5200 per person.  The CBO’s new estimate is $3960 per person in 2015.  The CBO now estimates that the total insurance subsidies over the next decade will be $849 billion.  This is $209 billion less (20% less) that the CBO’s previous 10 year estimate made in January 2015.     

            In addition, the CBO estimates that the 10 year costs of the “Expanded Medicaid” program for the poor is $847 billion, down from $920 billion of the previous estimate, an 8% decline.     

            This is good news for all of us.  What all these statistics mean is that health care insurance costs are being reduced by the Affordable Care Act.  The costs are lower because the insurance premiums are lower.  This means that individuals and businesses pay less for health care insurance than they did before.  As the White House press secretary, Josh Earnest, said “the Affordable Care Act is contributing in a very positive way to holding down the growth of health care costs.”  It also means that since the subsidies are less, the government has to spend less money to support the Affordable Care Act.  This means that the Affordable Care Act is really helping to roll back the deficit.  In fact the CBO estimates that the deficit over the next 10 years will decline from an estimate of $7.6 trillion to $7.2 trillion, a $400 billion decline.
 
         Agree with it or not, the Affordable Care Act is working.
 
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